<
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/commentisfree/2019/jun/03/we-must-mobilise-for-the-climate-emergency-like-we-do-in-war-time-where-is-the-climate-minister>
"A realistic assessment of climate-related impacts and threats depends
on understanding the strengths and weaknesses of climate science
projections. Unfortunately, much scientific knowledge produced for
climate policymaking is conservative and reticent.
In reality, climate change now represents a near- to mid-term
existential threat to human civilisation. A new approach to
climate-related risk management is required, paying particular attention
to the high-end and difficult-to-quantify “fat-tail” possibilities, such
as climate tipping points. This should be the key task of the minister’s
new department. What sort of approach should the government bring to
emergency risk management in the face of existential climate risk?
It is essential these high-end, bad possibilities, not just
middle-of-the-road probabilities, are seriously considered. This may be
most effectively explored by scenario analysis. In our paper a 2050
scenario is outlined in which accelerating climate-change impacts pose
large negative consequences to humanity which might not be undone for
centuries."
See also the full report:
https://www.breakthroughonline.org.au/whatliesbeneath
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://www.xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
http://www.glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
http://www.sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
