An existential discussion: What is the probability of nuclear war?

Sat, 27 Mar 2021 06:24:09 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://thebulletin.org/2021/03/an-existential-discussion-what-is-the-probability-of-nuclear-war/>

"The world has changed in dramatic ways since Cerf and Hellman met 50 years
ago. Yet the foundation of their friendship—good intellectual debates—has not.
On a recent private phone call with each other, the two friends discussed the
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine’s project seeking to
answer the question, “Should the US use quantitative methods to assess the
risks of nuclear war and nuclear terrorism?” While both agree that the US needs
to understand the risk of nuclear war, they disagree about whether a
quantitative analysis is necessary. What follows are their thoughts, presented
here for Bulletin readers."

Via Dave Farber.

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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