Thousands more Australians died in 2022 than expected. COVID was behind the majority of them

Sun, 1 Jan 2023 19:46:23 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/thousands-more-australians-died-in-2022-than-expected-covid-was-behind-the-majority-of-them-196281>

"Last month, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released a report of
mortality statistics. It showed that from January to July 2022, there were 17%
more deaths (16,375) than the average expected for these months.

This historical average is based on an average of the deaths for 2017, 2018,
2019 and 2021. They did not include 2020 in the baseline for 2022 data because
it included periods where numbers of deaths were significantly lower than
expected. The difference between the expected number of deaths based on
historical data, and the actual number, is called “excess deaths”.

However, as the ABS points out in its report, using previous years as the
predictor for the expected number of deaths does not take into account changes
in population age structure over time, or potential improvements in mortality
rates.

As we will see, the excess deaths this year were likely lower than the ABS
estimate – but still overwhelmingly related to COVID and its effects on
health."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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