Atlantic hurricane season 2023: El Niño and extreme Atlantic Ocean heat are about to clash

Sat, 24 Jun 2023 22:59:18 +1000

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/atlantic-hurricane-season-2023-el-nino-and-extreme-atlantic-ocean-heat-are-about-to-clash-204670>

"The Atlantic hurricane season starts on June 1, and forecasters are keeping a
close eye on rising ocean temperatures, and not just in the Atlantic.

Globally, warm sea surface temperatures that can fuel hurricanes have been off
the charts in the spring of 2023, but what really matters for Atlantic
hurricanes are the ocean temperatures in two locations: the North Atlantic
basin, where hurricanes are born and intensify, and the eastern-central
tropical Pacific Ocean, where El Niño forms.

This year, the two are in conflict – and likely to exert counteracting
influences on the crucial conditions that can make or break an Atlantic
hurricane season. The result could be good news for the Caribbean and Atlantic
coasts: a near-average hurricane season. But forecasters are warning that that
hurricane forecast hinges on El Niño panning out."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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