"All over the world, buses are quickly and quietly going electric.
By 2032, about half of the world’s buses will be entirely battery-powered, as
will almost three out of four buses sold, according to BloombergNEF’s seventh
annual Electric Vehicle Outlook. It will take another 10 years for the global
fleet of passenger vehicles to reach 50% EVs, and commercial trucking is
decades away from that threshold. Even scooters are moving slowly on the road
to electron-driven transport.
“In 2022, we saw more bus orders across different regions,” says BNEF analyst
Maynie Yun Ling Yang, “Previously, it was more of a China story.”
Some of that momentum has to do with the nature of bus fleets: Electrifying
just one of them can put thousands of fossil-fuel buses out of commission.
Berlin, for instance, is in the process of swapping its 1,600 diesel buses for
1,700 electric versions by 2030. New York City aims to transition its 5,800-bus
fleet to all electric vehicles by 2040. US school districts, meanwhile, had
about 1,000 electric buses by the end of last year and another 4,000 on the
The electric-bus takeover also speaks to a happy marriage between bus routes
and battery-powered vehicles. As it turns out, EVs excel when they don’t have
to zoom down an interstate at 70 miles per hour or haul several tons of Amazon
boxes. Slowly but surely poking through a city on a set schedule — with a bunch
of patient people as cargo — is a near-perfect use case. There’s little risk of
speed curtailing range, and the batteries can charge up ever so slightly each
time the bus wheezes to a stop.
Even better, most bus fleets retire to a centralized depot, which streamlines
the logistics of charging. Their batteries can be topped up at home base, on a
dedicated bank of power, rather than relying on disparate and often janky
public charging networks."
Via Future Crunch
*** Xanni ***
Chief Scientist, Xanadu
Partner, Glass Wings
Manager, Serious Cybernetics