Donald Trump’s stroll to victory in Iowa was a foregone conclusion. This doesn’t make it any less shocking

Thu, 15 Feb 2024 05:13:47 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/donald-trumps-stroll-to-victory-in-iowa-was-a-foregone-conclusion-this-doesnt-make-it-any-less-shocking-221207>

"Of course, on the day of the first nominating contest for the 2024 US
presidential election, there was a storm.

In Iowa over the weekend, blizzards described as “life-threatening” by the
National Weather Service brought with them temperatures well below freezing, up
to 25 centimetres of snow and ferocious winds.

In these terrible conditions on Monday night, Republicans in the Hawkeye state
gathered to choose their preferred candidate for president of the United
States. Polls had suggested for a long time that they had already made their
choice – former President Donald Trump was set to win in a landslide. The only
real question was who would snatch second place.

Iowa holds a caucus vote in presidential nominating contests, as opposed to
most other states, which hold primary votes. In the Iowa caucuses, registered
Republican voters gather in small groups in their local diners, schools and
churches, hear from candidate representatives and each other, and vote
privately for their preferred candidate.

As always in US electoral politics, turnout is the main game – which explains
the focus on the weather and how it might impact voters’ willingness to turn
up."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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