<
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2024/01/17/two-extinction-rebellions-climate-and-migration-fears-to-shape-eu-election-study-says>
'Two ‘tribes’ of voters, one mostly worried about climate change and the other
about immigration, could shape the outcome of June’s European elections,
according to a new report.
The study published on Wednesday by the European Council on Foreign Relations
(ECFR) predicts a clash in June’s vote between those most worried about the
extinction of human life due to climate change, and those fearing the
“disappearance of their nation and cultural identity” due to immigration.
The findings are based on polling in eleven European countries - including nine
EU nations representing 75% of the bloc’s population - which suggests Europe’s
voters can be split into five "crisis tribes."
Each tribe is predominantly anxious about one of five "crises" impacting the
continent: climate change, global economic turmoil, immigration, the COVID-19
pandemic and Russia’s war in Ukraine.
"We asked people a very simple question: which of those do they consider an
event that has most impacted the way they look at their future?" Pawel Zerka,
senior policy fellow at the ECFR, explained.
Zerka says voters most concerned about climate change and immigration are most
likely to "drive the debate" in June's EU ballot as they are most mobilised to
vote.
Those who see immigration as the issue most impacting their future "tend to
vote for far-right or anti-European parties," such as Germany's Alternative für
Deutschland (AfD) or France's Reconquête or Rassemblement National, Zerka
explained. Those most worried about climate change flock towards green or
left-leaning parties, and are most pro-European.
A tug-of-war between voter cohorts mobilised by these two salient issues of
climate change and immigration could also further polarise the EU vote,
according to Zerka.'
Via Rixty Dixet.
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
