Liebreich: Net Zero Will Be Harder Than You Think – And Easier. Part II: Easier

Mon, 1 Apr 2024 19:21:43 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://about.bnef.com/blog/liebreich-net-zero-will-be-harder-than-you-think-and-easier-part-ii-easier/>

"Welcome to the second part of my two-part article exploring the bull and bear
cases for the net-zero transition.

In September last year, I laid out the bear case, highlighting the Five
Horsemen of the Transition that will make achieving net zero difficult, perhaps
impossible. By way of reminder, these were: poor economics of clean solutions
beyond wind, solar and batteries; inadequacy of our current electrical grid;
soaring demand for critical minerals; political and social inertia; and
regulatory capture and predatory delay. Five formidable challenges.

I finished that piece by noting that the Five Horsemen of the Transition were
not necessarily showstoppers – each of them might be overcome with the right
leadership, focus, innovation and resources.

Now it is time to present the bull case – the five forces even more powerful
than the Five Horsemen which give cause for optimism. Not powerful enough, in
all likelihood, to get us to net zero in 2050 and hold the temperature increase
to 1.5C, but powerful enough to get us to net zero by 2070 and keep to a
Paris-compliant “well below 2C”.

Say hello to the Five Superheroes of the Transition."

Via Fix the News:
<https://fixthenews.com/good-news-human-rights-greece-education-burundi-reforestation-america/>

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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