Why hurricanes like Milton in the US and cyclones in Australia are becoming more intense and harder to predict

Sat, 2 Nov 2024 13:30:53 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/why-hurricanes-like-milton-in-the-us-and-cyclones-in-australia-are-becoming-more-intense-and-harder-to-predict-241000>

"Tropical cyclones, known as hurricanes and typhoons in other parts of the
world, have caused huge damage in many places recently. The United States has
just been hit by Hurricane Milton, within two weeks of Hurricane Helene.
Climate change likely made their impacts worse.

In Australia, the tropical cyclone season (November to April) is approaching.
The Bureau of Meteorology this week released its long-range forecast for this
season.

It predicts an average number of tropical cyclones, 11, are likely to form in
the region. Four are expected to cross the Australian coast. However, the risk
of severe cyclones is higher than average.

So what does an average number actually mean in our rapidly changing climate?
And why is there a higher risk of intense cyclones?

The bureau’s forecast is consistent with scientific evidence suggesting climate
change is likely to result in fewer but more severe tropical cyclones. They are
now more likely to bring stronger winds and more intense rain and flooding."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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