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https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/01/us-covid-surge-cases-rate>
"The United States is now in its fourth-biggest Covid surge, according to
official case counts – but experts believe the actual current rate is much
higher.
America is averaging about 94,000 new cases every day, and hospitalizations
have been ticking upward since April, though they remain much lower than
previous peaks.
But Covid cases could be undercounted by a factor of 30, an early survey of the
surge in New York City indicates. “It would appear official case counts are
under-estimating the true burden of infection by about 30-fold, which is a huge
surprise,” said Denis Nash, an author of the study and a distinguished
professor of epidemiology at the City University of New York School of Public
Health.
About one in five – 22% – of adult New Yorkers likely had Covid between 23
April and 8 May, according to the preprint study, which has not been
peer-reviewed or published. That would mean 1.5 million adults in the city had
Covid in a single two-week period – far higher than official counts during that
time.
While the study focused on New York, these findings may be true throughout the
rest of the country, Nash said. In fact, New Yorkers likely have better access
to testing than most of the country, which means undercounting could be even
worse elsewhere.
“It’s very worrisome. To me, it means that our ability to really understand and
get ahead of the virus is undermined,” Nash said."
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
