https://osf.io/n32zk/
"Despite the general narrative that we are in a period of global democratic
decline, there have been surprisingly few empirical studies to assess whether
this is systematically true. Most existing studies of backsliding rely heavily,
if not entirely, on subjective indicators which rely on expert coder judgement.
We survey other more objective indicators of democracy (such as incumbent
performance in elections), and find little evidence of global democratic
decline over the last decade. To explain the discrepancy between trends in
subjective and objective indicators, we develop formal models that consider the
role of coder bias and leaders strategically using more subtle undemocratic
action. The simplest explanation is that recent declines in average democracy
scores are driven by changes in coder bias. While we cannot rule out the
possibility that the world is experiencing major democratic backsliding almost
exclusively in ways which require subjective judgement to detect, this claim
not justified by existing evidence."
Via
Future Crunch 195: Density Is Not Destiny
https://futurecrunch.com/195-density-destiny/
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
