https://www.weforum.org/reports/global-risks-report-2023/digest/
"The first years of this decade have heralded a particularly disruptive period
in human history. The return to a “new normal” following the COVID-19 pandemic
was quickly disrupted by the outbreak of war in Ukraine, ushering in a fresh
series of crises in food and energy – triggering problems that decades of
progress had sought to solve.
As 2023 begins, the world is facing a set of risks that feel both wholly new
and eerily familiar. We have seen a return of “older” risks – inflation,
cost-of-living crises, trade wars, capital outflows from emerging markets,
widespread social unrest, geopolitical confrontation and the spectre of nuclear
warfare – which few of this generation’s business leaders and public
policy-makers have experienced. These are being amplified by comparatively new
developments in the global risks landscape, including unsustainable levels of
debt, a new era of low growth, low global investment and de-globalization, a
decline in human development after decades of progress, rapid and unconstrained
development of dual-use (civilian and military) technologies, and the growing
pressure of climate change impacts and ambitions in an ever-shrinking window
for transition to a 1.5°C world. Together, these are converging to shape a
unique, uncertain and turbulent decade to come.
The
Global Risks Report 2023 presents the results of the latest Global Risks
Perception Survey (GRPS). We use three time frames for understanding global
risks. Chapter 1 considers the mounting impact of current crises (i.e. global
risks which are already unfolding) on the most severe global risks that many
expect to play out over the short term (two years). Chapter 2 considers a
selection of risks that are likely to be most severe in the long term (10
years), exploring newly emerging or rapidly accelerating economic,
environmental, societal, geopolitical and technological risks that could become
tomorrow’s crises. Chapter 3 imagines mid-term futures, exploring how
connections between the emerging risks outlined in previous sections may
collectively evolve into a “polycrisis” centred around natural resource
shortages by 2030. The report concludes by considering perceptions of the
comparative state of preparedness for these risks and highlighting enablers to
charting a course to a more resilient world. Below are key findings of the
report."
Via Bill Daul.
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
