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https://www.scottsantens.com/chatgpt-has-already-decreased-my-income-security/>
'Most of you have by now heard of ChatGPT already, but if you haven't, first
I'm happy to hear you're out of your coma, and second, it's what's called a
"generative artificial intelligence" that was built by OpenAI to generate
machine-learning derived text from human prompts. What you also may not know,
because so much is happening so quickly, is how it has scared the bejesus out
of Google, and a generative AI race has officially begun. Here's a video to get
you up to speed.
In short, ChatGPT is the fastest service to ever hit 100 million subscribers,
and Google's dominance is legitimately threatened by Microsoft who bet on it.
With Google suddenly very concerned for its future, it's investing big in its
own generative AI solutions, and the two companies are each quickly upgrading
their services to utilize generative AI.
Because ChatGPT is so hugely popular and experiencing truly massive demand
already, you may not have been able to actually personally use it yet, but
suffice to say, it's kind of like magic. And it's still early days. Newer
versions trained on orders of magnitude more data are still to come, while the
current state-of-the-art is already as capable as humans at passing the Wharton
MBA exam (with a B or B-), a final exam in microbiology (with an A), law school
exams (with a C+), a Google coding interview for a level 3 engineer with a
$183,000 salary, and it can barely pass the US Medical Licensing Exam to be a
doctor (with a 60% where passing is 60%). More recently, it's even passed
"theory of mind" psychological tests with the same capability as a kid at age
9. This is all as of early February 2023. This level of performance will only
improve - and quickly.
Here's the thing though. As people begin to shift away from doing Google
searches and clicking link after link to find what they're looking for, and
instead just let AI answer their questions, fewer links will be clicked. Fewer
articles and blog posts will ever actually be read. This means those articles
will earn less advertising revenue and those blog posts will result in fewer
people becoming patrons on creator-centered platforms like Patreon.
That last one is what interests me in particular, because it directly impacts
me. And if I'm able to sufficiently explain how it's already impacting me, I
think you'll understand why you're likely already being impacted too.'
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
