<
https://wagingnonviolence.org/2012/03/the-more-violence-the-less-revolution/>
"Many regimes are so oppressive that people will give their lives to change
them, even without guarantees that the new regime will be a whole lot better.
But as we consider what we want out of our sacrifices to the cause, we should
ask: What’s the track record of movements that depend on violence to overthrow
their regimes?
Political scientists (and
Waging Nonviolence contributors) Erica Chenoweth
and Maria Stephan analyzed 323 attempts at regime change between 1900 and 2006.
They were curious about the comparative success of violent and nonviolent
campaigns, among other things. They found that violent campaigns succeeded 26
percent of the time, and that nonviolent campaigns succeeded 53 percent of the
time.
The good news is that regimes can be overthrown, even though dictators bring
out the police and army to try to stay in power. The bad news is that the
people didn’t always win; when they used violence they won only one time in
four. They did, however, double their chances of success when they used a
nonviolent strategy."
Via Muse.
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
