Cratering motor fuel sales in Norway show the death spiral that can end oil

Wed, 22 Nov 2023 12:44:43 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://electrek.co/2023/10/20/cratering-motor-fuel-sales-in-norway-show-the-death-spiral-that-can-end-oil/>

"It’s common knowledge that Norway is the land of electric cars and that the
country keeps breaking EV sales records with virtually no new fossil vehicle
sales. But what’s really important is the effect those EVs are having on oil
sales, which are in steep decline in the country as a result – and the same
thing could happen elsewhere.

Norwegian statistics agency SSB released its latest numbers on motor fuel sales
today, showing a whopping 9% decline in motor fuel sales year-over-year for the
month of September.

This is a result of Norway’s world-leading EV sales, with over 90% of new
vehicles in the country having some sort of plug and vanishingly few having no
electrification at all. The country has exceeded its own high expectations,
virtually ending fossil vehicle sales years ahead of schedule.

However, there are still fossil vehicles on the road from previous years that
are continuing to pollute and use fossil fuels throughout their lifecycle. But
as they age and are replaced almost solely with EVs, the vehicle fleet cycles
out from fossil to electric. If it takes 10-15 years for the vehicle fleet to
cycle out, then that means Norway would remove ~6-10% of fossil cars from the
road every year, replace them with electric cars, and thus reduce motor fuel
usage by a similar amount every year."

Via Diane A.

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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Sat, 9 Dec 2023 12:17:48 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://electrek.co/2023/10/20/cratering-motor-fuel-sales-in-norway-show-the-death-spiral-that-can-end-oil/>

"It’s common knowledge that Norway is the land of electric cars and that the
country keeps breaking EV sales records with virtually no new fossil vehicle
sales. But what’s really important is the effect those EVs are having on oil
sales, which are in steep decline in the country as a result – and the same
thing could happen elsewhere.

Norwegian statistics agency SSB released its latest numbers on motor fuel sales
today, showing a whopping 9% decline in motor fuel sales year-over-year for the
month of September.

This is a result of Norway’s world-leading EV sales, with over 90% of new
vehicles in the country having some sort of plug and vanishingly few having no
electrification at all. The country has exceeded its own high expectations,
virtually ending fossil vehicle sales years ahead of schedule.

However, there are still fossil vehicles on the road from previous years that
are continuing to pollute and use fossil fuels throughout their lifecycle. But
as they age and are replaced almost solely with EVs, the vehicle fleet cycles
out from fossil to electric. If it takes 10-15 years for the vehicle fleet to
cycle out, then that means Norway would remove ~6-10% of fossil cars from the
road every year, replace them with electric cars, and thus reduce motor fuel
usage by a similar amount every year."

Via Future Crunch:
<https://futurecrunch.com/good-news-education-girls-crime-uk-ocean-conservation-new-zealand/>

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

Comment via email

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