<
https://theconversation.com/what-is-the-value-of-us-security-guarantees-heres-what-history-shows-251197>
"Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, argues that any US-organised peace
agreement would have to be accompanied by “security guarantees” from the US to
prevent Russia from resuming its offensive in the future.
However, Donald Trump has so far said the US will not commit to sending troops
to Ukraine if Russia doesn’t stand by any such deal.
Another way of assuring a security guarantee would be for Ukraine to be allowed
to join Nato. As a Nato member, Ukraine would be protected by Article 5 which
states that if one member is attacked, others will come to its aid. But Trump
has also ruled out this option.
The US president claims the proposed US-Ukraine minerals deal will compensate
the US for its expenditure in support of Ukraine to date, and that the
associated presence of US personnel on Ukrainian territory will deter Russia
from a fresh invasion.
Yet for such a guarantee to be effective, Russia must believe in it. This seems
unlikely given that in the last few weeks, Trump has appeared to blame Zelensky
for the invasion of his own territory, called him “a dictator” for not holding
elections in wartime, and insisted that Vladimir Putin wants peace while
Zelensky does not.
But have US security guarantees worked in the past to provide the protection
that Zelensky is looking for? The history of this kind of protection deal is
worth interrogating for answers."
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
