https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-58544-5
"Rapid temperature flips are sudden shifts from extreme warm to cold or vice
versa–both challenge humans and ecosystems by leaving a very short time to
mitigate two contrasting extremes, but are yet to be understood. Here, we
provide a global assessment of rapid temperature flips from 1961 to 2100.
Warm-to-cold flips favorably follow wetter and cloudier conditions, while
cold-to-warm flips exhibit an opposite feature. Of the global areas defined by
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, over 60% have experienced more
frequent, intense, and rapid flips since 1961, and this trend will expand to
most areas in the future. During 2071–2100 under SSP5-8.5, we detect increases
of 6.73–8.03% in flip frequency (relative to 1961–1990), 7.16–7.32% increases
in intensity, and 2.47–3.24% decreases in transition duration. Global
population exposure will increase over onefold, which is exacerbated in
low-income countries (4.08–6.49 times above the global average). Our findings
underscore the urgency to understand and mitigate the accelerating hazard flips
under global warming."
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
