<
https://theconversation.com/economic-pessimism-is-behind-the-drift-of-voters-to-minor-parties-and-independents-256322>
"Growing economic pessimism appears to have pushed many voters away from
Australia’s two major parties, Labor and the Coalition. Support for minor
parties and independents has doubled since the Global Financial Crisis in 2008.
In the latest federal election, minor parties and independents are on track to
gain a record share of the vote, at 33.4%. Although Labor won just 34.6% and
the Coalition 32% of first preferences, Labor secured a majority after
preference flows, reflecting a broader shift away from the major parties.
Commentary in both Australian media and in the United States framed the result
as a reaction against US President Donald Trump’s return to politics. That
echoed analysis of Canada’s surprise centre-left Liberal party win a week
earlier.
But a more straightforward explanation lies in Australian voters’
dissatisfaction with economic conditions.
In a new study, we used three decades of data from the leading monthly consumer
sentiment survey, the
Consumer Attitudes, Sentiments and Expectations in
Australia (CASiE) Survey, to study how shifts in economic expectations align
with changes in voting behaviour."
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
