Earth is heading for 2.7°C warming this century. We may avoid the worst climate scenarios – but the outlook is still dire

Thu, 29 May 2025 03:24:32 +1000

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/earth-is-heading-for-2-7-c-warming-this-century-we-may-avoid-the-worst-climate-scenarios-but-the-outlook-is-still-dire-254284>

"Is climate action a lost cause? The United States is withdrawing from the
Paris Agreement for the second time, while heat records over land and sea have
toppled and extreme weather events have multiplied.

In late 2015, nations agreed through the Paris Agreement to try to hold warming
well under 2°C and ideally to 1.5°C. Almost ten years later, cutting emissions
to the point of meeting the 1.5°C goal looks very difficult.

But humanity has shifted track enough to avert the worst climate future.
Renewables, energy efficiency and other measures have shifted the dial. The
worst case scenario of expanded coal use, soaring emissions and a much hotter
world is vanishingly unlikely.

Instead, Earth is tracking towards around 2.7°C average warming by 2100. That
level of warming would represent “unprecedented peril” for life on this planet.
But it shows progress is being made."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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