A 10-fold increase in rocket launches would start harming the ozone layer – new research

Wed, 11 Jun 2025 12:20:43 +1000

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/a-10-fold-increase-in-rocket-launches-would-start-harming-the-ozone-layer-new-research-257480>

"The international space industry is on a growth trajectory, but new research
shows a rapid increase in rocket launches would damage the ozone layer.

Several hundred rockets are launched globally each year by a mix of commercial
companies and nation-state space programmes. These take place at around 20
sites, almost all in the northern hemisphere, with the most prolific launch
rates currently from the United States, China, New Zealand and Russia.

Our latest research explores the tipping point when launching more rockets will
begin to cause problems. Our findings show that once rates reach 2,000 launches
a year – about a ten-fold increase on last year – the current healing of the
ozone layer slows down.

We argue that with care, we can avoid this future. The economic benefits of
industry growth can be realised, but it will take a collaborative effort."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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