Geopolitics, backsliding and progress: here’s what to expect at this year’s COP30 global climate talks

Sat, 8 Nov 2025 03:19:58 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/geopolitics-backsliding-and-progress-heres-what-to-expect-at-this-years-cop30-global-climate-talks-268662>

"Along with delegates from all over the world, I’ll be heading to the United
Nations COP30 climate summit in the Brazilian Amazon city of Belém. Like many
others, I’m unsure what to expect.

This year, the summit faces perhaps the greatest headwinds of any in recent
history. In the United States, the Trump administration has slashed climate
science, cancelled renewable projects, expanded fossil fuel extraction and left
the Paris Agreement (again). Trump’s efforts to hamstring climate action have
made for extreme geopolitical turbulence, overshadowing the world’s main forum
for coordinating climate action – even as the problem worsens.

Last year, average global warming climbed above 1.5°C for the first time.
Costly climate-fuelled disasters are multiplying, with severe heatwaves, fires
and flooding affecting most continents this year.

Climate talks are never easy. Every nation wants input and many interests
clash. Petrostates and big fossil fuel exporters want to keep extraction going,
while Pacific states despairingly watch the seas rise. But in the absence of a
global government to direct climate policy, these imperfect talks remain the
best option for coordinating commitment to meaningful action.

Here’s what to keep an eye on this year."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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