More floods are coming. Here’s what actually works to help people prepare

Tue, 20 Jan 2026 07:04:24 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/more-floods-are-coming-heres-what-actually-works-to-help-people-prepare-273694>

"Weekend storms and flooding in New South Wales led to the NSW State Emergency
Service responding to more than 1,600 incidents across the state.

This follows last week’s flash floods in Victoria, where cars were swept to sea
and people raced to escape. Many affected were holidaymakers but even locals
were caught unprepared.

Previous flood-preparedness approaches have proved insufficient. Government and
risk agencies have relied on top-down approaches that broadcast information to
people and then expect them to act on it.

Despite decades of increasingly sophisticated warnings and campaigns,
attempting to tell people what to do has delivered uneven and often limited
results.

So what actually works?

This question was at the heart of our new paper, published in the Journal of
Hydrology
, which involved engaging with 641 households in flood-prone areas of
Kingston and Darebin in the Greater Melbourne area.

We found a more participatory one-on-one approach leads to behaviour changes
that actually reduce risk to people and property. That means really listening
to people about what they know and how they feel about flood risk."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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