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https://reneweconomy.com.au/pouring-oil-on-climate-fire-global-fossil-fuel-use-must-halve-by-2035-to-avoid-catastrophic-climate-damage/>
"Global fossil fuel use must halve by 2035 and be phased out entirely by 2070
at the latest if the world is to keep global warming below 1.5°C by the end of
the century, according to a new analysis published on Wednesday.
The new briefing from Climate Analytics lays out an initial look at potential
global and national roadmaps that align with the latest science and minimise
the magnitude and duration of overshoot beyond the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C
limit.
And the most important lever available to humanity is transitioning away from
fossil fuels, given that fossil fuel production and use is currently
responsible for 70 per cent of global emissions.
“Fossil fuels are still pouring oil on the climate fire,” said Dr Neil Grant,
senior expert for mitigation pathways at Climate Analytics.
“Our analysis is clear: we need to cut fossil fuel use sharply this decade,
halve it by 2035, and drive it down to real zero by 2070.”
According to the Climate Analytics brief, which builds a Highest Possible
Ambition scenario developed in conjunction with Potsdam Institute for Climate
Impact Research (PIK), fossil fuel production and use should have peaked in
2025, before falling 20 per cent by 2030, 50 per cent by 2035, and reaching
zero globally by 2070.
This so-called Highest Possible Ambition scenario would therefore see
temperatures peak at 1.7°C before falling to well below 1.5°C before 2100.
The scenario sees coal phased out globally by 2050, gas by 2060, and oil by
2070.
The brief – released in the second week of the interim UN climate talks in Bonn
– highlights that oil and gas demand will decline fast enough in a
Paris-aligned transition to avoid the need for new oil and gas fields, with
existing and already approved fields already more than sufficient to meet
declining demand."
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
