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https://theconversation.com/a-big-el-nino-is-likely-australia-needs-to-get-ready-now-for-drought-fire-and-the-unknown-286634>
"This year’s El Niño is expected to be strong to very strong, tilting the odds
toward a hotter, drier winter and spring across southern and eastern Australia.
Droughts, water shortages and a dangerous fire season become more likely.
It makes sense to prepare. But the size of the event isn’t set in stone.
For authorities, farmers and land managers, this poses a challenge – wait, and
risk being unprepared, or act with a chance preparations may go to waste.
Prescribed burn windows, water allocation deadlines and decisions about crop
sowing all need to happen before the forecast solidifies.
Faced with decision problems like this, it’s best to stage interventions,
starting with low-cost, low-regret actions and preparing contingency plans in
case the worst happens."
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
