<
https://reneweconomy.com.au/truly-mind-blowing-scientists-fear-strongest-el-nino-will-push-climate-into-unchartered-waters/>
"Climate scientists say they have never seen anything like it – a Super El Nino
that is bigger and growing more quickly than any prior events.
“With all the July model runs now in, it is very likely that 2026 will see the
largest El Nino event since records began in the late 1800s – and by a truly
mind-blowing margin,” says climate scientist Zeke Hausfather.
“The median estimate (for anomalies in sea surface temperatures) is now 3.6°C,
roughly 0.8°C hotter than the prior record (of 2.75°C).”
Hausfather, who appeared in an episode of
Renew Economy’s weekly
Energy
Insiders podcast last year, says 2026/27 El Nino event that the world is
currently witnessing is growing faster than any prior events.
What does this mean? No one is too sure. As Hausfather notes, the models have
never been verified in this territory because none has ever happened.
“We are both figuratively and literally in uncharted waters,” he writes on
Climate Brink. “For context, the gap between the strongest and the fifth
strongest El Nino of the past 150 years is only about 0.5°C. The models are
forecasting something outside of the envelope of anything we have ever
observed."
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics