Totally grounded? How the jet fuel crisis could change our holidays – and world history

Thu, 7 May 2026 23:24:03 +1000

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/may/06/totally-grounded-how-the-jet-fuel-crisis-could-change-our-summer-holidays-and-world-history>

"What happens to flights if the world runs out of oil? Well, obviously they
will be grounded. To be more specific, is it possible, if the war in Iran does
not resolve and the strait of Hormuz remains blocked, that airlines will simply
run out of aviation fuel?

It’s not a question anyone has had to ask before. Air travel has hit some
hurdles this century that nobody could have seen coming – Covid, of course, but
also the Icelandic volcano in 2010, which closed much of European airspace for
eight days, cost an estimated €3.75bn (£3.2bn) and caused untold supply chain
chaos. There have been problems contained within a country or region – the
Heathrow substation outage and the Iberian energy crisis, both last year, both
closing airports – but since air travel began, it has never been globally
impeded by a fuel shortage.

So how likely is it? What would it look like, to consumers, to governments, to
economies? And could there be a silver lining, in the form of fewer carbon
emissions in the short-term, and in the long-term, the ushering in of
post-fossil-fuel air travel?"

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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