“Total transformation of the Australian summer:” Climate change made January heatwaves five times more likely

Sat, 24 Jan 2026 14:27:43 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://reneweconomy.com.au/total-transformation-of-the-australian-summer-climate-change-made-january-heatwaves-five-times-more-likely/>

"Australia has just experienced its worst heatwave in six years but it’s set to
become much more common under existing policies to curb carbon emissions.

The Australian summer is undergoing a “total transformation” as scientists warn
climate change made a recent blistering heatwave five times more likely.

Australia’s southern states sweltered during early-January through the worst
heatwave conditions since the summer of 2019-2020, a period scarred by
devastating bushfires.

Peak temperatures in the 40s across much of southeast Australia constitute the
sort of extreme event that would have occurred just four times a century before
human-induced global warming.

Now, the World Weather Attribution says similarly intense three-day heatwaves
can be anticipated every five years.

If the world warms 2.6C above pre-industrial averages as predicted under
existing policy settings, such extreme heat events could strike every second
year by the end of the century.

Australian National University professor of climate science Sarah
Perkins-Kirkpatrick said the major shift in heatwave prevalence underlined the
urgency to cut emissions and adapt to warming already baked in."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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